Primetime Emmy Predictions - Comedy

The emmy's are once again coming, shows are wrapping up and networks are gonna start sending in their tapes and campaigns. Here are my mediocre predictions... time will tell if I'm right!
The final nominee predictions are indicated with a - *
Comedy Series - Possible top 10
The Office *
30 Rock *
Weeds *
Flight of The Conchords
Two and a Half Men *
Entourage *
Samantha Who?
How I Met Your Mother *
Family Guy
The United States of Tara
- Going out on a limb here! Assuming the new popular vote will pull in HIMYM is probably wishful thinking or maybe this is Family Guy's year? Or any other popular comedy could come in. Perenial nominees The Office and Two and a Half Men, and last years winner 30 Rock are a shoo - in. Weeds should finally get in with the popular vote and Showtimes rigorous early campaigning - good selections for the submitted episodes.

Comedy Lead Actor - Top 10
Alec Baldwin - 30 Rock *
Charlie Sheen - Two and a Half Men *
Steve Carell - The Office *
David Duchovny - Californiacation *
Lee Pace - Pushing Daisies
Adrien Grenier - Entourage
Tony Shalhoub - Monk *
Jason Lee - My Name is Earl
Jay Mohr - Gary Unmarried
Kyle Bornheimer - Worst Week
- Again going out on a limb predicting newcomers Jay Mohr and Kyle Bornheimer is a risky guess. Perenial nominees Tony Shalhoub, Steve Carell and Charlie Sheen and last years winner Alec Baldwin are shoo - ins. Up in the air is the last nominee... I'm predicting David Duchovny.

Comedy Lead Actress
Tina Fey - 30 Rock *
America Ferrera - Ugly Betty *
Mary - Louise Parker - Weeds *
Julia Louis - Dreyfus - The New Adventures of Old Christine *
Christina Applegate - Samantha Who? *
Toni Collette - The United States of Tara *
Felicity Huffman - Desperate Housewives
Sarah Silverman - The Sarah Silverman Program
Teri Hatcher - Desperate Housewives
Eva Longoria - Parker - Desperate Housewives
- Ok so Tina Fey, America Ferrera, Mary Louise Parker and Julia Louis Dreyfus are shoo - ins. I think Christina applegate is safe too. New comer Toni Collette has a bait - y role (multiple personalities) and Showtime is usually pretty good with getting nominations. But she could be interchanged with one of the Housewives.

Comedy Supporting Actor
Justin Kirk - Weeds
John Krassinski - The Office *
Jeremy Piven - Entourage *
Rainn Wilson - The Office *
Jon Cryer - Two and A Half Men *
Jack McBrayer - 30 Rock
Tracy Morgan - 30 Rock
Neil Patrick Harris - How I Met Your Mother *
Kevin Dillon - Entourage
John Corbett - United States of Tara
- Pretty obvious line up there's always room for surprises though....

Comedy Supporting Actress
Elisabeth Perkins - Weeds *
Kristin Chenoweth - Pushing Daisies *
Jenna Fischer - The Office *
Jean Smart - Samantha Who? *
Vanessa Williams - Ugly Betty *
Jane Krakowski - 30 Rock *
Holland Taylor - Two and a Half Men
Conchata Ferrel - Two and a Half Men
Jaime Pressly - My Name Is Earl
Dana Delany - Desperate Housewives
- Again an obvious line up Kristin Chenoweth or Jane Krakowski can be changed for one of the Two and a Half Men ladies

Guest star nominee predictions coming!

Early 2009 Primetime Emmy Predictions!

It's that time of year again! Shows are wrapping up and now that Showtime has sent it's dvd screeners.
So here it goes hopefully I will do better than last year!

DRAMA

DRAMA SERIES
1. Mad Men
- Winning last year and just winning the globe Mad Men is popular and probably the frontrunner to win again
2. Damages
- Fresh off the win for Glenn Close it has some fresh blood this season (William Hurt among others!) Probably pretty secure for a nomination
3. Boston Legal
- mentioned before it's an emmy favorite and it's the last season so they will want to honor it one last time.
4. Dexter
- being nominated last year for the first time and also being one of the first non HBO cable network show to be nominated along with Damages and Mad Men helps alot. Also it got mentions from SAG and the Globes which it hasn't done before.
5. Lost
- having a good season... definatley a default.
6. House
- Maybe this year will be the year House gets nominated. The new rules favors more popular shows eliminating the final judging panel.
7. 24 (ALTERNATE)
- the new rules favor 24 once again. Returning after absence last year helps too.

LEAD DRAMA ACTOR
1. Hugh Laurie - House
- benefiting from the popular vote this year might be his year
2. Jon Hamm - Mad Men
- a very popular show and he was pretty much the front runner last year until the upset from Brian Cranston.
3. James Spader - Boston Legal
- the shows final year... he has been a past nominee and winner.
4. Michael C. Hall - Dexter
- a pretty popular performance, nominated last year.
5. Gabriel Byrne - In Treatment
- doesn't benefit from the new popular vote but benefits from the recent globe win.
6. Kiefer Sutherland - 24
- he's been nominated before and he's back from hiatus, beneifts from the popular vote.
7. Bryan Cranston - Breaking Bad (ALTERNATE)
- last years winner does not benefit from the new popular vote.

LEAD DRAMA ACTRESS
1. Glenn Close - Damages
- last years winner!
2. Anna Paquin - True Blood
- golden globe winner but it kinda is a fantasy. Does she benefit from the popular vote? Previous oscar winner definate presteige factor, the 2 academys like to reward the same actresses.
3. Kyra Sedgwick - The Closer
- previous nominee a definate default
4. Sally Field - Brothers and Sisters
- previous nominee and winner - benefits from the popular vote.
5. Holly Hunter - Saving Grace
- last year nominee, prestiege factor (oscar winner)
6. Mariska Hargitay - Law and Order SVU
- previous winner and nominee - benefits from the popular vote.
7. January Jones OR Elisabeth Moss - Mad Men (ALTERNATE)
- will one of them go supporting? popular show winning lots of awards.

SUPPORTING ACTOR DRAMA
1. Henry Ian Cusick, Michael Emmerson, Terry O' Quinn - Lost
- emmy likes the lost actors in this category, O' Quinn won before but was not in the top 10 last year Cusick was in the top 10 last year and Emmerson was a last year nominee. They benefit from the popular vote
2. William Shatner - Boston Legal
- the shows last year a past winner
3. John Slattery - Mad Men
- popular show, last year nominee

SUPPORTING ACTRESS DRAMA
1. Chandra Wilson - Grey's Anatomy
- will they finally give her what she rightly deserves? it's gone down hill but still....
2. Dianne Weist - In Treatment
- last years winner, prestiege factor (oscar winner)
3. Rachel Griffiths - Brothers and Sisters
- past nominee
4. Candace Bergen - Boston Legal
- the shows last year on the air. They may want to reward it somehow, a past emmy fave.
5. Sandra Oh - Grey's Anatomy
- perrenial nominee - one of the best things about the show
6. Katherine Heigl - Grey's Anatomy
- a much more dramatic story line (possible death! GASP!) after last years fiasco of her saying she didn't get as good material to warrant a nomination. Past winner helps.

The Oscars: Review

All in all it was a good show. Hugh Jackman brought showmanship back to the ceremony a bold choice but he paid off. Even the 1st musical number was good (although the second with Beyonce, Zac Efron, Vanessa Hudgens, Dominic Cooper, and the other girl from Mama Mia was awful but its expected to have 1 bad musical number at the oscars) Even the jokes were pretty good and the night was organized in groups of categories post production, music etc.... and the night went faster then usual without the usual comedic monologues and random category presentation it was one after the other which was nice! Loved the acting presentation with 5 previous winners announcing and individual praising of their performances. So how did I do with my predictions?

16/24
So was hoping Slumdog wouldn't win as many as it did.... But no real surprises and I actually got one of the short categories right! Year in advance predictions coming soon!

Thanks for reading if you are....

Its Here!

The oscars are here and here are some possible upsets tonight!

1. Viola Davis wins for supporting actress instead of Penelope Cruz
2. Anyone else wins for directing usually they like to get quirky with their choices here but not likely.
3. Mickey Rourke wins (which I predict)
4. Meryl or Anne win for Best Actress

Anything can happen don't count anyone out for a win! Good luck with your predictions and happy watching!

Odds Are.... Who Will win @ Sundays Oscars?

Probable Order are my predictions... Enjoy!
Best Picture
The Probable Order....
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
3. The Reader
4. Milk
5. Frost/Nixon

My Order....
1. The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
2. The Reader
3. Slumdog Millionaire
4. Milk
5. Frost/Nixon

Best Director
The Probable Order...
1. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
2. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Gus Van Sant - Milk
4. Stephen Daldry - The Reader
5. Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon

My Order....
1. David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Gus Van Sant - Milk
3. Stephen Daldry - The Reader
4. Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
5. Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon

Best Actor
The Probable Order....
1. Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
2. Sean Penn - Milk
3. Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
4. Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
5. Brad Bitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

My Order...
Pretty Much The Same except maybe Jenkins would be 3 and Langella would be 4

Best Actress

The Probable Order...1. Kate Winslet - The Reader
2. Meryl Streep - Doubt
3. Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
4. Melissa Leo - Frozen River
5. Angelina Jolie - Changeling

My Order...
Same except switch Streep with Hathaway

Best Supporting Actor
The Probable Order...
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
2. Josh Brolin - Milk
3. Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
4. Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
5. Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road

My Order...
1. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
2. Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road
3. Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
4. Josh Brolin - Milk
5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt

Best Supporting Actress
The Probable Order...
1. Penolope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
2. Viola Davis - Doubt
3. Amy Adams - Doubt
4. Marissa Tomei - The Wrestler

5. Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

My List...
Probably the same.

Best Original Screenplay
The Probable Order...
1. Andrew Stanton - Wall - E
2. Dustin Lance Black - Milk
3. Mike Leigh - Happy Go Lucky
4. Courtney Hunt - Frozen River
5. Martin McDonagh - In Bruges

My List...
Probably The Same once again.... Maybe In Bruges would be higher.

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Probable Order...
1. Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire
2. John Patrick Shanley - Doubt
3. David Hare - The Reader
4. Eric Roth - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Peter Morgan - Frost/Nixon

My List
1. Eric Roth - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. David Hare - The Reader
3. John Patrick Shanley - Doubt
4. Peter Morgan - Frost/Nixon
5. Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire

Best Costume Design
The Probable Order...
1. Michael O'Connor - The Duchess
2. Catherine Martin - Australia
3. Jacqueline West - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Albert Wolsky - Revolutionary Road
5. Danny Glicker - Milk

My List...
Probably the same no idea

Best Cinematography
The Probable Order...
1. Claudio Miranda - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Wally Pfister - The Dark Knight
3. Anthony Dod Mantle - Slumdog Millionaire
4. Chris Menges - The Reader
5. Tom Stern - Changeling

My List...
I'm not good @ judging tech categories so I guess the same maybe Slumdog might be a little higher...

Best Art Direction
The Probable Order...
1. Donald Graham Burt, Victor Solfo - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Michael Carlin, Rebecca Alleway - The Duchess
3. James Murakami, Gary Fettis - Changeling
4. Nathan Crowley, Peter Lando - The Dark Knight
5. Kristi Zea, Debra Shutt - Revolutionary Road

Best Film Editing
Probable Order...
1. Chris Dickens - Slumdog Millionaire
2. Lee Smith - The Dark Knight
3. Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Elliot Graham, Gus Van Sant - Milk
5. Mike and Daniel P. Hill - Frost/Nixon

Visual Effects
Probable Order...
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Iron Man
3. The Dark Knight

Best Makeup
Probable Order...
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Hellboy 2
3. The Dark Knight

Best Original Score
Probable Order...
1. A.R. Rahman - Slumdog Millionaire
2. Alexandre Desplat - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Thomas Newman - Wall - E
4. Danny Elfman - Milk
5. James Newton Howard - Defiance

Best Original Song Written for A Motion Picture
Probable Order...
1. Jai Ho - Slumdog Millionaire
2. Down To Earth - Wall - E
3. O Saya - Slumdog Millionaire

Sound Mixing
Probable Order...
1. The Dark Knight
2. Slumdog Millionaire
3. Wall - E
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Wanted

Sound Editing
Probable Order..
1. Wall - E
2. The Dark Knight
3. Wall - E
4 . Slumdog Millionaire
5. Wanted

Foreign Language Film
Probable Order...
1. Waltz with Bashir
2. The Class
3. Departures
4. The Baadar Meinhoff Complex
5. Revanche

Documentary Feature
Probable Order...
1. Man on Wire
2. Trouble The Water
3. The Betrayal
4. The Garden
5. Encounters at the end of the World

Animated Short
Probable Order...
1. La Maison en Petits...
2. Presto
3. Lavatory Lovestory
4. This Way Up
5. Oktapodi

Live Action Short
Probable Order...
1. The Pig
2. Toyland
3. Aufder Strecke
4. Manon on The Ashphalt
5. New Boy

Documentary Short
Probable Order...
1. The Conscience of Nhem En
2. The Final Inch
3. En
4. Smile Pinki
5. Balcony of Room 306

So There They are i'll tally up after good luck on your predictions too!

Oscar Predictions Round 1 Million......

Hmmm how many times have I tried to predict this years race? quite a few.... The race keeps changing and I need to keep updating m preictions sorry once again for lack of postings but anyway here we go lets look at acting categories (my favorites!) because Slumdog seems locked and loaded for some of the others.

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
For Her
-The addict role oscar loves to nominate
- Good girl gone bad!
- She's proved herself a dependable actress
- Precursor support
- Sympathy vote... scorned by her ex who was put in jail! oh noes!
Against Her
- Bride Wars - remember when EddieMurphy was supposed to win BSA a couple years back? Then Norbit happened....
- Stiff competition - Meryl Streep and Kate Winslet can she get past them?

Kate Winslet - The Reader
For Her
- Holocaust film
- Court Room Scene
- Tears
- Aging
- Precursor support
- Overdue its her turn!
Against Her
- Voting confusion - how many peopleput her in supporting?
- Some may think Revolutionary Road performance was better

Meryl Streep - Doubt
For Her
- a legend, a perenial favorite
- the SAG and other precursor wins
- A nun role oscar likes them too!
- Mamma Mia oscar also likes to nominate people who've had a great year in the movies
- Tears
- Scene stealer she gets all the best dialogue!
- Hasn't won in a loooonnnggg time!
Against Her
- Shes won before - quite a few overdue actresses (Leo, Winslet and Hathaway) competing for their first trophy, oscar likes to spread the wealth.
- Some say she over did it....

Melissa Leo - Frozen River
For Her
- early support that stuck
- Sacrifices beauty for role.... (Think Charlize Theron in Monster among others)
- troubled mother (another oscar favorite)
- overdue veteran
- engaged in illegal activity - a morality play
- surprise screen play nom for the film shows support
Against Her
- small film
- Stiff Competition

Angelina Jolie - Changeling
For Her
- big celebrity easy press keeps her in voters minds
- troubled mother
- insane assylum (yet another oscar cliche')
- Clint Eastwood (his actors get noms usually)
- Brad, His and Hers nominations!
- Snub for A Mighty Heart last year
Against Her
- Not very much precursor support
- Too big a celebrity?
- She's already won... like I said oscar likes to spread the wealth (or not)

In short... Basically one big oscar cliche' (The addict, troubled mom, holocaust, bad girl etc...) but an interesting category none the less. Winslet not as big a lock as I thought,
Should Win - Anne Hathaway Rachel - Getting Married
Will Win - Kate Winslet - The Reader

Best Supporting Actress
Penolope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
For Her
- Woody Allen his actresses win and get nods usually
- Harvey Weinstein super campaigner!
- She's nuts!
- She's Bilingual!
- She's also bi sexual....
- She's proved herself good actress
- Critical darling - precursor adoration (besides Kates arguable category fraud...)
- Comedic and dramatic!
Against Her
- Not much except possible upsets... with Kate out of her way shes locked and loaded!

Amy Adams - Doubt
For Her
- Performance (she's great!)
- Nun roles are a favorite of oscar voters
- ensemble film - plays off other actors well (Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Streep and Davis)
- well loved after Junebug and Enchanted
- sympathetic character
- tears, a meltdown
Against Her
- May split votes with other cast members... especially Viola Davis

Viola Davis - Doubt
For Her
- troubled mom
- short but sweet a real scene stealer
- the whole movie pivots on her performance.... she does it well.
Against Her
- vote split with Adams
- too short of a performance?

Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
For Her
- the big film of the year
- old age makeup
- an enjoyable performance
Against Her
- Not much precursor support in the wins department....

Marissa Tomei - The Wrestler
For Her
- a woman in the sex trade with a heart of gold... another oscar cliche'
- Mickey Rourke - good chemistry
- a good performance, moving and natural
- Proved that My Cousin Vinny upset wasn't a mistake
Against Her
- competition...
- all attention was on Rourke for this one.
In Short - Good performances this year but this is Cruz's to lose
Should/ Will Win - Cruz!

Best Actor
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
For Him
- ages (backwards at that!)
- challenging role does it quite well
- celebrity
- Angelina matching nom red carpet glamour and excitement added to the show.
- accent!
Against Him
- not too many precursor wins
- stiff competition from Rourke and Penn
- some of his performance is in the technical part... kinda confusing to voters

Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
For Him
- early support built up
- overdue veteran
- Step Brothers and Burn After Reading among other films makes him a favorite
- well respected
Against Him
- a quiet performance oscar likes to go for showier roles
- a small film

Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
For Him
- overdue veteran
- widespread category support for the film
- plays real person (bio pic)
- tony win for same role
- performance - believable and just plain awesome!
Against Him
- other competition...

Sean Penn - Milk
For Him
- plays real person (bio pic once again)
- political relevance
- plays against type and plays it well (good performance)
- precursor support
Against Him
- not much except Rourke.

Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
For Him
- Lots of precursor support BAFTA win and Globe among others
- comeback story
- media support - lots of interviews and general buzz surrounding him
Against Him
- Sean Penn...

In Short - tough category! anyone could take it (except mybe Pitt)
Should Win - Mickey Rourke
Will Win - Mickey Rourke

Best Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
For Him
- a classic performance - haunting, creepy and funny
- good way to reward such a widespread loved film
- He's dead (as much as I hate to say it)
- other good performances back him up
- a showy role he's crazy!
Against Him
Nothing!

Josh Brolin - Milk
For Him
- Good performance in a biopic
- a little mentally disturbed can't hurt!
- a good last 2 year - lots of momentum from other films
Against Him
- Heath Ledger

Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
For Him
- a brave performance playing another race
- funny
- a super come back year appeared in 5 or 6 films?
- a fan favorite
Against Him
- a comedic role
-other showier more dramatic roles and competition

Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
For Him
- A perrenial oscar favorite
- lots of starring roles in last 2 years
- ensemble playing with Meryl Streep
Against Him
- a little icky and creepy.... child molester? ew...
- other competition

Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road
For Him
- mentally unstable mathematician where have we seen this before?
- A great performance that stole scenes and stuck in voters minds
Against Him
- stiffer competition...

In Short
Should/Will Win - Heath Ledger

thanks for taking time to read comment!

Oscar Nominations How Did I Do on Guessing?

Terrible thats how.
Kate Winslets lead in Reader
Snub for The Dark Knight for picture and director
Angelina Jolie and Melissa leo in Best Actress instead of Sally Hawkins and Kristin Scott Thomas...

Lets see.
Best Picture

BEST PICTURE
-The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
-Frost/Nixon
-The Reader
-Slumdog Millionaire
-Milk

4/5
The Dark Knight/Wall - E for The Reader

BEST ACTOR
-Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
-Sean Penn, Milk
-Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
-Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
-Richard Jenkins, The Visitor

5/5
Woot! No surprises for me! Really glad to see Jenkins and Pitt here

BEST ACTRESS
-Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
-Angelina Jolie, Changeling
-Meryl Streep, Doubt
-Kate Winslet, The Reader
-Melissa Leo, Frozen River

2.5(wrong role for winslet)/5
Hawkins and Scott - Thomas for Leo and Jolie also predicted Winslet being nominated here for the Reader instead of Revolutionary Road.

BEST ACTOR - SUPPORTING
-Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
-Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
-Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
-Josh Brolin, Milk
-Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

5/5
Correctly predicted Michael Shannon while everyone else thought he was merely a dark horse.
A pleasant surprise.

BEST ACTRESS - SUPPORTING
-Amy Adams, Doubt
-Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
-Viola Davis, Doubt
-Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
-Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

4/5
Predicted Kate Winslet for Reader instead ofMarissa Tomei The Wrestler

BEST DIRECTOR
-Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
-Stephen Daldry, The Reader
-David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
-Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
-Gus Van Sant, Milk

4/5
Predicted Christopher Nolan The Dark Knight for Stephen Daldry The Reader

Will look over the the rest of the nominees tomorrow I think The widespread support for The Reader is good for Kate Winslet and 13 total noms for Benjamin Button is good for it too... we will see!