Best Director
1. Sam Mendes - Revolutionary Road
My most anticipated drama of the year Sam Mendes may win his second oscar this year.
2. Baz Luhrman - Australia
Sweeping landscapes are usually a shoo in for directing/cinematography nods plus he was snubbed for Moulin Rouge so this could be his make up nom.
3. David Fincher - Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Snubbed last year for Zodiac the academy may redeem him a well deserved nomination.
4. Clint Eastwood - Changeling
An obvious shoo-in.
5. Steven Spielberg - The Trial of Chicago 7
I don't know which is more famous. His cast or Mr. Speilberg himself. Another obvious shoo-in.
Also Possible
Woody Allen - Vicky Christina Barcelona
The Soloist - Joe Wright
Ridley Scott - Body of Lies
Gus Van Sant - Milk
Steven Soderbergh - Guerilla
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Best Supporting Actress
1. Amy Adams OR Viola Davis - Doubt
She proved herself a good actress in Junebug and proved versatile in Enchanted. If she is well recieved with critics a nomination is very possible! BUT Apparently her performance is short so one of her co-stars could edge her out.
2. Kathy Bates - Reveloutionary Road
The last good thing she did was About Shmidt in 2002 (although she was the funniest part about Failure to Launch) If her performance isn't overshadowed by Kate and Leo's reunion she could score herself yet another nom.
3. Cate Blanchett OR Tilda Swinton - Benjamin Button
Tilda Swinton did win last year so the more likely nomination would go to Cate Blanchett who is apparently wonderful in this movie. Will Benjamin Button be last year's Michael Clayton and go over REALLY well with audiences and critics and be nominated for a bunch and only win one? Only time will tell!
4. Amy Ryan - Changeling
I loved Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone and this is a Clint Eastwood flic so one of his actresses have gotta be nominated! If Angelina's hissy fits and tabloid drama keep her off of the list of lead actresses it may be Amy Ryan's chance to shine again.
5. Sandra Oh - Blindness
Looks like a pretty good movie and the trailier looks good. I think she may pull this off and do a good job. Let's just hope it's not another Sideways disaster.
Also Possible
Renee Zellweger - Appaloosa
Her appearance with George Clooney in Leather Heads will keep her in voters minds until this comes out. She could come back with another great performance.
Catherine Keener - The Soloist
Best Supporting Actor
1. Josh Brolin - Milk
He left a mark and made lots of buzz last year for appearing in 2 great movies last year (American Gangster and No Country For Old Men) and was snubbed for both performances. If he is well accepted with critics than he can probably expect a nomination.
2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
He was in 3 awesome movies last year and even snuck in a supporting actor nomination for Charlie Wilson's War. Plus he's acting along side Meryl Streep. If the oscar queen Streep doesn't steel his spotlight he will probably get nominated.
3. Michael Sheen - Frost/Nixon
Michael Sheen did a notable performance as Tony Blair in The Queen along side Helen Mirren. In this political drama about the Watergate scandal he is definatley in the running.
4. Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
I was REALLY sceptical that Heath could pull this off. He is usually so soft spoken especially in Brokeback Mountain (crappy movie btw!) But then I saw the trailer. Man did he give me chills! Will oscar pay tribute to him in the form of a nomination? If they keep promoting the movie like they are he very well may get a nom.
5. John Malkovich - Changeling
A Clint Eastwood movie and John Malkovich? Cool I guess i'll throw him in there.
Also Possible
Tom Wilkinson - Valkerie
Benjamin Bratt - Guerilla
Robert Downey Jr. - The Soloist
RDJr is back with more than 4 flicks to keep him on voters minds!
Technical stuff in next post! Let's see how much I embarass myself with predictions :P
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